Hume's so-called "problem of induction"

Hume’s Enquiry (IV, II)  Proof that matters of fact are not founded upon reason

Stages of Hume's Argument  
Examples and commentary:

I

 


Hume asks: (paragraph 14) "What is the nature of all our reasonings concerning matter of fact?"

The relevent matter of fact is a particular, predictive synthetic proposition. For example, that this bread which I will eat will nourish me. (paragraph 16)
His answer: “they are founded on the relation of cause and effect.”

 

This matter of fact is an experimental conclusion (it requires a background generalization):
Example: The “secret powers” of bread  (“A body of such sensible qualities”) will nourish humans. (paragraph 16)
II

 

 

New Question: "What is the foundation of all our reasonings and conclusions concerning that relation?" (paragraph 14)

In other words, where do get a justified experimental conclusion to support our prediction that the bread will nourish?

Answer: The foundation is PAST EXPERIENCE, i.e., “direct and certain information of those precise objects only, and that precise period of time, which fell under its cognizance . . .” (paragraph 16)

The foundation is a summary of similar past experience: “That bread, which I formerly eat, nourished me . . . at that time . . .” (paragraph 16)

 

 

III

 

 

 

New Question: "What is the foundation of all conclusions from experience?" (paragraph 14) 

Premise: "The connexion between these propositions is not intuitive." (not a relation of ideas) 

 

 

The experimental conclusion and the proposition reporting my experience “are far from being the same . . .” (paragraph 16)

Premise: All "experimental conclusions proceed upon the supposition, that the future will be conformable to the past" (paragraph 19)
Assumption required: nature is uniform with respect to cause and effect, so the unobserved is “like” the observed.

"On what process of argument this inference is founded?" (paragraph 21) 
If based on argument, it must be known intuitively or as a conclusion from past experiences.
Conclusion: "The inference [that nature is uniform] is not intuitive [not analytic]; neither is it demonstrative. . . To say experimental, is begging the question. For all inferences from experience suppose, as their foundation, that the future will resemble the past . . ." (paragraph 21) It is not intuitive, and if it is itself an “experimental conclusion” then it first requires itself be proven true to guide us to its truth, for we have just seen that experimental conclusions rely on this principle.




GENERAL CONCLUSION:

Inferences to predictive conclusions require something more than reasoning to guide them.

 

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Last updated Dec. 18, 2006